Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 969.038668 1101.076978 1249.501865 1429.677843 1643.778069 1891.668843 2202.743209
2025-04-27 773.618422 945.989569 1158.924534 1445.315162 1826.662063 2326.134593 3045.520202
2025-05-04 668.366130 855.917298 1102.024848 1456.295425 1966.435889 2696.299841 3862.304200
2025-05-11 593.577356 787.846178 1055.137120 1461.504694 2085.771005 3048.799513 4735.370311
2025-05-18 550.301124 753.949895 1046.290610 1513.508288 2276.080196 3540.999031 5969.182285
2025-05-25 513.184404 722.584994 1034.484245 1555.527518 2453.928166 4048.212847 7391.603962
2025-06-01 476.926868 687.352780 1010.872019 1572.625689 2589.714743 4509.229011 8884.741257
2025-06-08 443.361708 652.071750 982.001879 1574.942216 2697.075255 4939.111840 10473.933410
2025-06-15 420.758009 631.352065 973.596935 1610.379980 2871.424831 5546.164377 12744.046696
2025-06-22 385.425042 586.507131 919.723162 1555.225857 2855.716736 5738.384359 14020.841846
2025-06-29 355.551505 548.059917 872.850376 1506.700317 2844.517579 5937.641874 15414.536014
2025-07-06 327.950796 511.201476 825.255691 1450.685219 2807.514423 6066.326817 16661.880663
2025-07-13 318.401329 504.949264 832.512205 1505.842918 3031.681056 6928.925998 20917.726329
2025-07-20 304.439334 489.875153 822.256009 1524.304208 3176.753142 7634.753507 25164.842268
2025-07-27 290.960799 474.470443 809.699963 1535.909528 3307.595988 8345.978203 30045.476473
2025-08-03 278.002072 458.940925 795.330988 1541.489976 3424.660924 9059.547750 35637.006445
2025-08-10 271.605805 454.935823 802.954591 1597.114085 3685.867021 10343.605932 45658.416234
2025-08-17 264.444814 448.879339 805.796229 1642.083957 3929.233671 11679.405196 57979.448412
2025-08-24 255.180006 438.081189 797.891447 1660.388921 4101.069282 12835.723029 71130.913191
2025-08-31 245.162229 425.099002 784.257351 1662.869222 4226.906033 13876.096730 85491.063391
2025-09-07 238.903774 419.045373 784.724703 1700.820387 4473.598365 15562.454991 109695.566583
2025-09-14 225.131438 397.135748 749.219059 1641.761031 4393.286381 15744.799757 119240.135377
2025-09-21 212.908474 377.670225 717.702264 1589.830169 4327.918442 15982.859958 130377.515084